As if to symbolize who he’s really working for, on Wednesday Trump will give a Presidential Medal of Freedom
to Art Laffer, best known for insisting that tax cuts for the wealthy
pay for themselves. This is a classic zombie idea, one that has been
repeatedly killed by evidence, but keeps shambling along, eating our
brains, basically because it’s in plutocrats’ interest to keep the idea
in circulation.
And here’s the thing: White working-class voters seem to have noticed that Trump isn’t working for them. A new Fox News poll
finds that only 5 percent of whites without a college degree believe
that Trump’s economic policies benefit “people like me,” compared with
45 percent who believe that the benefits go to “people with more money.”
Trump
may believe that he can make up for his pro-plutocrat tax and health
policies with tariffs, his one significant deviation from G.O.P.
orthodoxy. But despite Trump’s insistence that foreigners will pay the
tariffs, an overwhelming majority of noncollege whites believe that they
will end up paying more for the things they buy.
Oh, and remember Trump’s promises to bring back coal? His own Energy Department projects that coal production next year will be 17 percent lower than in 2017.
Now,
this doesn’t mean that there will necessarily be large-scale defections
on the part of Trump’s beloved “poorly educated.” On the other hand,
health care — where his betrayal of past promises was especially obvious
— seems to have played a big role in Democrats’ midterm victory. And he
is certainly more vulnerable than he would be if he engaged in even a
smidgen of actual populism. Why won’t he?
Part
of the answer may be personal: Trump’s whole career shows him to be the
kind of man who, if anything, takes pleasure in taking advantage of
people who trusted him.
Beyond that,
however, for all the talk about how “it’s Trump’s party now,” he still
needs the support of the G.O.P.’s big-money interests. For now, the
party establishment is happy to provide cover for the administration’s
corruption, closeness to Putin, and all that.