Aug 14, 2016

Finally, Many Voices, Including News Media, Are Now Indentifying Donald Trump as a Bullshit Artist. He Always Was, but Better Late than Never...

One year ago, I thought Ted Cruz would make a fine Republican presidential nominee, one who would be so conservative and repugnant that he would lose the general election. Then I noticed that Trump would be even worse and he became my favorite to deliver another defeat to the GOP. My only hesitation was that Cruz's loss would be owned by the Republican party whereas Trump's, perhaps, not so much. Already there are many Republican leaders and other notables who have declared they are not supporting their party's nominee. This has not happened to such scale in the last half a century that a major American party is so fractured. Of course, this spells defeat.

The only positive thing for the GOPers is that they can claim they were fooled by an outsider, not "a true conservative" who captured the party's flag. The general public may also buy this, as Trump has not been directly involved with a political party or has any experience with public office, or serving any interest other than his own. Today, we hear that the Republican National Committee may cut funding to its own nominee! [source: Politico ]  This may work for some Republicans seeking re-election this November and for the party in 2020.

The person who routinely makes ridiculous statements is a ridiculous person

And, then there's the man at the center of this circus, Donald Trump, whose bullshit now has hit the fan. The stench is permeating everywhere, but at least more and more people, including the news media, have begun to acknowledge this. Trump was always an asshole, who cared more about his ego, and has had a masturbatory relationship with publicity, any publicity--good or bad. It was obvious, the garishly decorated holdings, his name plastered anywhere and everywhere, his egomania, and his lack of intellect, all there. His only great skill was the shameless and relentless self-promotion. Yes, it's a craft to be a bullshit artist and Donald has it!

But, it reveals something about so many others who fell for this bullshit. So many investors, buyers, hopeful entrepreneurs, average people believed his b.s. A person who came from money and left a long trail of bankruptcies, defrauding of investors, and stupid investment choices, and who would have made more money, of what daddy had given him, had he invested in the market's index fund instead of going into business. Trump who was put on an allowance after his casinos and other holdings failed, and whose main income was his TV show and licensing of his brand, which, of course, was built on a b.s. This article in The New Yorker explains how the Trump image was built.

Trump's ghost writer, Tim Schwartz, of The Art of the Deal broke his confidentiality clause to reveal the background of how this best-seller came to be, especially Trump's character. Schwartz now says that he can't remain silent, because of the high stakes of this election. Schwartz spent 18 close months with Trump ahead of the book’s publication. He now claims he’s not the book’s co-writer, but a ghostwriter who penned “every word” ― with minimal input from Trump. Howard Kaminsky, the former head of Random House, which published the book, backed up Schwartz’s claim, the New Yorker reports. [source].  This ABC News Schwartz interview should be viewed as well.

On the numbers side, Clinton has about 90% chance of winning, 90 days before the election, which is a bit too early to say for certain what will happen in November, but if after Labor Day, the numbers stay as they are today, Clinton can win the election even if she lost Florida and Ohio! It's possible that she may greatly exceed Obama's Electoral College victory of 365 to 173. This is what a Clinton landslide would look like according to Fivethirtyeight. I don't know if Trump will lose this badly, but if the difference climbs to double digits, Congress can turn Democratic again. The question is whether Republicans will be energized to vote. On the Democrats side, there's lots more unity and excitement. In addition--and this is always crucial in elections--the Dems have a better ground organization and they'll win the voter turnout game.